The Swans are tremendous plays as outsiders in this spot. There’s in-depth analysis, betting strategy and reasoning behind each of their selections. The Cats were magnificent against the Magpies in what was a genuine flag performance. Off a loss of more than four goals as a double-digit underdog, the Blues cover rate jumps to a highly impressive 66%.
North cover at 59% when an underdog of more than a goal. The Roos have won seven of the last 10 meetings with eight covers over that run including the last two meetings.
Richmond defeated Geelong just once between 2001 and the 2017 finals but since then the Tigers have gone on to win two premierships and over that run and have defeated the Cats in five of six. The Hawks have covered just six of their last 15 as an underdog. The Eagles cover at 63% when favoured by more than two goals and 69% when favoured by more than four goals. Geelong should be favoured in this one. We welcome back an old favourite this week as we steam into Carlton getting a big plus. They have now won three on the trot with all three wins coming by more than five goals. West Coast are normally highly reliable as a big home favourite but Collingwood are the play in this one. The Cats take on the Lions this week … at the SCG. That is no exception this week. Happy to stick with the reliable Swans here. West Coast are highly reliable as a big favourite in Perth. Geelong make the nut at a rate of 61% as an underdog since 2012, while they have covered 10 of 14 as an interstate outsider so travel poses no issue. They’ll be posting their AFL Tips each week for the entire 2020 AFL Season. If the Tigers are winning their 3rd Flag in 4 years, he is playing a big part in it. Carlton cover at 62% when getting more than three goals start. The Brownlow Medal is the biggest punting day on the AFL calendar. Port have covered just six of 18 off a win of three of more goals. The Eagles beat the Blues by 24 when they last met. The Saints won just two of those but they roundly thumped the Tigers when the teams met this season. We have expert betting tips for all nine AFL Round 4 games this week. The Lions have covered just 1 of their last 5 as an interstate favourite and they have a poor 36% cover rate in night games. The Bombers have covered at just 37% when the elect in betting. The Swans have historically been very good travellers and that is cranked up when they are an underdog with the Swans covering at 60% as a travelling outsider. The Saints are poor favourites. The Swans won both games against teams with a losing record. Carlton getting a start is nearly always a bet and so it is here against St Kilda. He’s had a remarkable season and that was reflected by his inclusion in the All-Australian side.
West Coast seemed to have stemmed the bleeding this year with an impressive 34-point win over the Swans. Check out all our expert tips and the final verdict below! Melbourne are 3-5 but have won two of their last four. Taking the best AFL odds just got easier.
The Cats travel well and their experience will hold them in good stead here. Think! They have covered at just 41% when favoured by the market and at just 37% when favoured by more than two goals. The Dockers come off pushing Richmond while the Dees were humiliated by the Swans. The Blues have covered two straight against the Saints and seven of the last 10. The Magpies are 22-11 against the spread interstate and were arguably the most impressive team of Round 3. Sydney has lost four of their last five and are entrenched in the bottom four. West Coast have covered an incredible 13 of their last 15 when favoured by fewer than two goals so are clearly in a good spot in this one. Melbourne has become an exceptional betting proposition of late. They got thumped by 57 last week by the Bulldogs and they have lost three of their last four by 50-plus points. They have not broken 60 points since Round 1. Essendon are highly reliable plays as an underdog. They have not covered in six of their last seven. Melbourne should do a job on the poor Swans. Add articles to your saved list and come back to them any time. The Hawks have won 10 of 11 against the Crows and covered six of the last eight. The Western Bulldogs are poor favourites, covering at just 41% when the popular elect.
The Carlton plus a play … who would have thought. More than happy to take the Cats as an underdog. Essendon’s only won in their last three was an unconvincing one against Adelaide. AFL action continues this week and there are some exciting games on the schedule. Get your 14-day free trial & start streaming instantly >. The Blues cover at a stunning 61% in Victoria when an underdog. The Demons have covered seven of their last eight against the Crows and the Demons have covered four of their last six off a loss of 30-plus. The Dockers have just two losses this year by more than 13 points. They were super in annihilating the Dockers by five goals last week. The Magpies have covered five of the last seven against the Swans and have covered 12 of 18 off a loss. Call Gambling Help 1800 858 858 www.gamblinghelponline.org.au
GWS have won their last two and four of their last six. 2020 AFL Round 15 – Tips, Predictions & Odds. The Kangaroos are in the opposite boat. Fremantle have covered 9 of the last 12 meetings with Geelong including three of the last four in Perth. Collingwood cover at just 39% when favoured by more than two goals.
When favoured by 10 or more points off a win the Saints have covered just 3 of 13. They are winless in 11 games. Carlton cover at 58% when a double-digit underdog and look in a good spot again against the Western Bulldogs. Melbourne cover at just 42% as a favourite and gave covered just three of their last 10 in the spot. The Tigers are starting to get hot and can be ridden here. The Swans strike as tremendous value here. Collingwood is good travelers and that puts them in a nice spot on the road to a GWS team that is flailing since the season resumption. The Dockers have a good cover record off a big win, making the nut at 59% when off a 60-plus win. The Bulldogs are a major take-on team when favoured. Betting, of course, does not reflect this but taking odds against and/or any plus is absolutely a play in this semi against the Cats. The Magpies cover at just 43% when favoured and just 38% when favoured by more than two goals. The Swans have covered 11 of their last 16 as an underdog and seven of nine getting double digits. Find out more about our policy and your choices, including how to opt-out. The lowly Crows are just a pure bet against team this year. The Shinboners have been in freefall of late and come into this off a 64-point loss to Fremantle. Richmond have covered four straight against Hawthorn and look to be in a good spot to make it five. It is incredibly difficult to come into Hawthorn here as favourites.
They have also dropped the last two against Saints with St Kilda covering 8 of the last 12 meetings. The Blues have covered three straight and have made the nut in seven of their last nine night games.
The Cats have won 8 of their last 10 against Port and can continue that strong run this week. The Saints have covered eight of 12 as an underdog. Betfair Pty Limited's gambling operations are governed by its Responsible Gambling Code of Conduct and for South Australian residents by the South Australian Responsible Gambling Code of Practice. He is one where even if he doesn’t play amazing, he’ll attract the eyes of the voting panel as we saw last year. More notably, however, is Richmond’s horrid record at the ground with just two wins in their last 10 at the venue. The Bulldogs cover at just 41% as a favourite and have made the nut in just 5 of their last 17 when favoured. They’ll be posting their AFL Tips each week for the entire 2020 AFL Season. They will be looking to put that disappointing loss behind them in a very winnable affair against the Swans. The Blues are the bet … again. Watch every match of every round of the 2020 Toyota AFL Premiership Season LIVE & On-Demand with KAYO. West Coast have an outstanding record in Perth when heavily favoured. They have covered nine of 15 against the Magpies including both matches last season. Call Gambling Help 1800 858 858 www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. North are poor favourites, covering just six of 18 when the elect by more than a goal. The Verdict % is calculated, it tells you which team the majority of experts think will win. The Bombers have covered five of their last seven as an underdog and cover at 62% when an outsider of more than two goals, a clear indication the market usually gets them wrong. In their last 17 when favoured in betting, the Bulldogs have covered just five. He’ll likely rely on Geelong coming out winners on the day, but at $26, he presents great value. All-time, though, the Power are just 51-32 with a -16% POT but that has turned around in 2020. Among those wins were a 51-point victory in the 2017 qualifying final and a 19-point triumph in last year’s preliminary final. Fremantle have looked vastly improved and that has culminated in back-to-back wins.
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